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SNB researchers test LLM-based FX trading strategy

Meta’s Llama 3.1 comes out on top at predicting G10 currency sentiment based on news articles.

Blurry FX trading screen behind an illustration of a robot hand holding a dollar coin
Credit: Risk.net montage

Researchers from the Swiss National Bank have shown how a trading strategy that uses fine-tuned large language models (LLMs) to analyze sentiment in the foreign exchange market could outperform traditional language-based artificial intelligence methods.

The authors of the SNB working paper, Daniele Ballinari and Jessica Maly, suggest that by fine-tuning LLMs to better understand the jargon of FX markets, trading strategies can be created based on the sentiment they detect.

LLMs “provide innovative

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